004
FNUS53 KAPX 171912
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
312 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

...Hot and Humid Through Wednesday; Showers at Times all Week...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid conditions will continue through
Wednesday. It will then be very warm later in the week into this
weekend with continued elevated humidity levels. Showers and
storms will be possible over the next several days. Winds will be
gusty at times, especially during the daylight hours.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-180815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
312 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 13 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler...except 4 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1215).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (164).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 4 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 5 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (805).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.18 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-180815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
312 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1162).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (104).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (966).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.17 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-180815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
312 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1088).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (184).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 5 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (661).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.41 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-180815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
312 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (61).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 79-84 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1103).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (180).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (756).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-180815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
312 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1297).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.20 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (110).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1084).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.15 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AJS