Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
374
FNUS53 KAPX 190905
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
505 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
...Hot and Humid with Chances for Thunderstorms...
.DISCUSSION...
Clear skies, hot temperatures and rising mixing heights today for
northeast lower and near Saginaw Bay. A cold front will move
through from northwest to southeast, keeping min humidity values
higher over northwest lower and the tip of the mitt. Southwest
winds will be breezy this morning with occasional gusts up to 25
mph. Winds will subside this afternoon, becoming calm this
evening. Isolated thunderstorm chances near the frontal boundary
this afternoon. Storms will be capable of gusty and erratic winds
and downpours. More rain chances tonight.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-192030-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
505 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 22 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (941).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (68).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (154).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.22 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-192030-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
505 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 74-79 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1135).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400. Isolated thunderstorms.
Isolated rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in .
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 60-65 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 26 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (132).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
$$
MIZ020-025>027-192030-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
505 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler...except 10 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (777).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 7 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (145).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.26 in.
$$
MIZ031>033-192030-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
505 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (876).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Isolated
thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered showers.
Scattered thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northeast around 12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.22 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (142).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.34 in.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-192030-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
505 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1349).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northeast around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.18 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (148).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.14 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
ELD