908
FNUS53 KAPX 110623
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

...Milder weather returns...

.DISCUSSION...Developing south winds and still plenty of sunshine
will allow temperatures to return to more normal levels today, with
continued warming allowing readings to reach above normal levels
Tuesday and Wednesday. Only very small chances for showers tonight,
with more chances for showers returning later Wednesday night into
Thursday (although definitely not looking like anything significant
at this time). Low level moisture will again mix out aggressively
today, allowing widespread sub 40 percent relative humidity values
by later this morning and afternoon. Trends support rh values
remaining a bit more elevated Tuesday and Wednesday. Sub-criteria
level winds through Tuesday, with southwest winds becoming a bit
more gusty on Wednesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-112330-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent...except 35-40 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (364).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 21 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (606).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-112330-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (398).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer...except 12 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (702).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-112330-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (385).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (558).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-112330-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (430).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 23 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (633).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-112330-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
223 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (561).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (875).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB