139
FXUS64 KBMX 262013
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
213 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 152 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025

 - Clear and colder conditions expected on Thanksgiving Day.

 - A rainy pattern should take hold for Saturday night through
   Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 152 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025

The transition to a more active weather pattern will continue
through the next 7 day forecast period. Surface high pressure
building into the southeast states will help keep conditions dry
across central Alabama through the Thanksgiving holiday and into
the early weekend. However, a series of upper level shortwave
troughs will bring several waves of showers to our area, most
likely starting Saturday night and lasting as long as Tuesday.
While it won`t rain through that entire period, there`s likely to
be 2 to 3 waves of showers during that time, totaling another 1
to 2 inches of rain. Instability appears to have no time to really
recover, and chances of thunderstorms through this period are
pretty remote. As for temperatures -- although it will be
decidedly colder than it has been recently, nothing in the models
suggest anything that is vastly out of the ordinary.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1109 AM CST WED NOV 26 2025

Fog and residual stratus clouds have lifted, and VFR conditions
are now expected across central Alabama terminals through the
next 24 hours. Wind directions should stay pretty much the same
through the period, although wind speeds and gustiness will come
and go.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Drier air will move into the region today, with afternoon RH
values dropping to 35-45 percent. Afternoon RH values will
decrease to 25-35 percent for Thursday through Saturday. Northwest
winds of 10-15 mph are expected on this afternoon, with a
decrease to 7-11 mph for Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     31  51  26  48 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    32  52  26  49 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  34  51  29  48 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  34  54  29  53 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      32  55  29  53 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      36  54  31  51 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  34  55  30  53 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        35  55  31  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION.../61/
AVIATION.../61/