Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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141
FXUS64 KBMX 090520
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1120 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025

 - Lows tonight will fall below freezing for nearly all of
   Central Alabama.

 - Seasonable temperatures expected this week with little chance
   for rain until the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Monday)
Issued at 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025

High pressure is expected to build into the region today, leading to
some clearing of the persistent cloud cover that we`ve seen over the
past few days. Southerly flow returns Wednesday ahead of another
frontal passage, but deep moisture return will be lacking, so we`re
not expecting any significant rain chances with the next frontal
passage Wednesday into Thursday. Rain-free weather is expected to
continue through the end of the week.

Another wave is expected to dip through the main upper level trough
over the weekend. An effective warm front appears to lift northward
through the area on Saturday before the main cold front pushes
through Saturday night into Sunday, leading to increased rain
chances. Keeping the overall probabilities low for now as coverage
of any rainfall still remains uncertain.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025

Low ceilings appear to be the main concern over the next 6 - 10
hours with MVFR stratus remaining persistent across the northern
half of Central AL. HREF probabilities still point to high
chances of IFR CIGS for BHM, EET, and TCL from roughly 4-6am to
9am. After that, ceilings improve and clouds become more scattered
as we go into the afternoon and should remain that way through
the remainder of the period.

25/Owen

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MinRHs will generally remain above 40% for the next several days
with little to no rain chances through the remainder of the week.
We`ll see southerly flow today, shifting more westerly then
northerly with our next frontal passage Wednesday into Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     27  51  32  59 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    28  53  34  60 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  29  51  36  59 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  29  53  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      29  54  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      32  52  34  60 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  32  53  32  63 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        32  53  31  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...25/Owen
AVIATION...25/Owen