Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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733
FXUS64 KBMX 091131
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
531 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 521 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025

 - Seasonable temperatures expected this week with little chance
   for rain until the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Monday)
Issued at 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025

High pressure is expected to build into the region today, leading to
some clearing of the persistent cloud cover that we`ve seen over the
past few days. Southerly flow returns Wednesday ahead of another
frontal passage, but deep moisture return will be lacking, so we`re
not expecting any significant rain chances with the next frontal
passage Wednesday into Thursday. Rain-free weather is expected to
continue through the end of the week.

Another wave is expected to dip through the main upper level trough
over the weekend. An effective warm front appears to lift northward
through the area on Saturday before the main cold front pushes
through Saturday night into Sunday, leading to increased rain
chances. Keeping the overall probabilities low for now as coverage
of any rainfall still remains uncertain.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 521 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025

Low clouds have eroded already across the area as a clipper system
works into the area from the north. With the clouds scouring out
earlier than forecast patchy fog has developed in spots. Any fog
should dissipate by 15z. Otherwise variable high clouds with light
winds for most sites. AUO may see winds of 7 to 8 kts through the
morning before dropping to less than 7 kts after 18z.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MinRHs will generally remain above 40% for the next several days
with little to no rain chances through the remainder of the week.
We`ll see southerly flow today, shifting more westerly then
northerly with our next frontal passage Wednesday into Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     51  32  59  30 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    53  34  59  33 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  52  37  59  35 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  54  35  61  35 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      54  34  61  34 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      53  34  59  37 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  53  32  62  37 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        53  32  63  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...25/Owen
AVIATION...16