Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
111 FXUS64 KBRO 231802 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1202 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1157 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 - Above average high temperatures continue through Tuesday. - There is a medium to likely (40-60%) chance of rain across the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning in association with the passage of a cold front. - More seasonable temperatures are forecast behind the front Wednesday and thursday before a gradually warmer temperatures return next weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1157 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Ongoing showers along the coast are expected to diminish this afternoon as the frontal boundary shifts further north. Generally rain free and warm conditions are forecast through Tuesday afternoon as southeasterly return flow becomes dominate across Deep South Texas. A weak cold front is forecast to approach Deep South Texas Monday evening, likely stalling just to the northwest of the CWA. However a second, stronger cold front is forecast to advance south through the Great Plains and move through Deep South Texas Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Rain chances will once again increase to around 40-60% ahead of and along this front. Additionally, cooler temperatures are forecast in the wake of this front, with afternoon highs in the 70s to low 80s Wednesday and low temperatures in the 50s to low 60s Wednesday night. Southeasterly winds are forecast to return Friday, bringing gradually warmer temperatures going into the weekend, with high temperatures reaching the mid 80s by Saturday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1157 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Predominately VFR conditions are expected to continue through the TAF period. Gusty southeasterly winds are forecast to continue this afternoon with wind gusts diminishing overnight. && .MARINE... Issued at 1157 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Adverse marine conditions are forecast to develop this evening and continue into Monday afternoon. Small Craft Should Exercise Caution headlines or a Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed tonight into Monday as wind speeds increase to around 20kts across the Laguna Madre and Gulf waters.. Generally favorable conditions look to briefly return Tuesday before a cold front moving through the areas Tuesday night into Wednesday brings another round of adverse conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 74 88 71 89 / 0 0 0 10 HARLINGEN 70 90 67 89 / 0 0 0 10 MCALLEN 72 93 71 91 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 70 92 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 77 83 74 83 / 0 0 10 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 72 87 69 87 / 0 0 0 10 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...60-BE LONG TERM....60-BE AVIATION...60-BE