Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
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959 FXUS61 KBTV 181748 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1248 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Persistent northwest flow and a prolonged period of upslope snow across the Adirondacks and Greens will continue through the first half of the week. Snow showers have tapered off as high pressure begins to move into the region. Drier weather returns for Wednesday and Thursday with some chances for showers returning Friday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 1213 PM EST Tuesday...Upslope snow showers have come to an end, and we are seeing some breaks in the clouds with some welcome sunshine for parts of the region. High pressure is beginning to ridge into the area and will remain through mid week. Temperatures will be running cooler than seasonal normals; highs are expected to remain primarily in the 30s warming to around 40 degrees for broader valleys by Wednesday with lows ranging from the teens to the 20s. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 1213 PM EST Tuesday...Clouds will be increasing Thursday ahead of the next approaching system with flow turning southerly but remaining light. Highs will likely range in the upper 30s to low/mid 40s, comparatively mild given recent conditions, and close to seasonal averages. Thursday night will also not be as cool with cloud cover increasing and aforementioned southerly flow, lows in the lower 20s to lower 30s. Precipitation should hold off until after 12z Friday. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 1246 PM EST Tuesday...After a relatively quiet and dry week, widespread light precipitation is expected on Friday as low pressure passes well to our north and a frontal boundary pushes across the region. Precipitation will primarily fall as plain rain, although a few isolated pockets of snow and/or wintry mix cannot be ruled out in some of the higher terrain. Some cooler air will move in behind the system, which may allow for another period of some upslope snow showers. As we head into next week, unsettled yet seasonable conditions look to avail, with several chances for additional showers and plenty of cloud cover. Temperatures throughout this time period will be rather seasonable, with highs generally in the upper 30s to mid 40s and overnight lows generally in the 20s. && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Through 18Z Wednesday...A mix of MVFR and VFR conditions currently prevail across the region this afternoon, which will continue throughout much of the forecast period as drier conditions prevail across the area. MVFR conditions look to become more widespread again after 00Z. Heading into tomorrow more of the same is expected in regards to ceilings, although additional clearing is expected, with most terminals trending towards VFR by the end of the forecast period. Winds will continue to be westerly to northwesterly between 5 to 12 kts this afternoon, with occasional gusts between 15 to 20 knots. Winds will trend lighter and more variable after 00Z. Outlook... Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Definite RA. Friday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. && .EQUIPMENT... NOAA Weather Radio station WXM-44, transmitting from Mt. Ascutney, Vermont, on frequency 162.475 MHz is non-operational at this time. NWS technicians have diagnosed the problem, but repairs will likely not be able to occur for quite some time due to circumstances beyond our control. Therefore, the time of return to service is currently unknown. The following NOAA Weather Radio transmitters may be able to provide service during this outage: WWG 50 from Burke Mtn, VT at 162.425 MHz and WNG 546 from Hanover, NH at 162.525 MHz. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Neiles NEAR TERM...Neiles SHORT TERM...Neiles LONG TERM...Kremer AVIATION...Kremer EQUIPMENT...Team BTV