858
FXUS62 KCAE 131752
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
1252 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure keeps dry conditions in place through the weekend
with gradual warming trend continuing. The next chance of rain
holds off until early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Key message(s):

- Temperatures near normal.

High pressure will maintain mostly clear skies and benign weather
through tonight. Northwest flow will continue to strengthen
aloft keep dry air entrenched across the southeast. Satellite
derived PWAT estimates are around 0.35" and should remain less
than 0.5" into Friday morning. Temperatures continue to
moderate, near normal today with highs in the upper 60s and low
70s and lows tonight in the upper 30s and low 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...

- Dry high pressure in place through Saturday.

Deep northwesterly flow will continue across the region through the
end of the week as series of shortwaves remain to our north. Temps
will steadily moderate each day as the associated surface high
slides overhead and persistently low PWAT`s allow for plenty of sun
each day. Daytime highs should climb into the low-mid 70`s and
overnight lows in the low 40`s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

- Dry conditions expected throughout the long term period despite an
approaching front over the weekend.

A strong surface low will dig south into the Ohio Valley and push a
front towards our area by Sunday notably increasing the pressure
gradient over the area. Despite southwesterly flow ahead of the
front, moisture is still very limited with PWAT`s remaining below
0.5". This front is then expected to push through Sunday with what
looks like a fairly windy system; EC EFI continues to highlight
Sunday for anomalous winds and gusts, NAEFS guidance continues to
support 30+ mph wind gusts. These winds though should remain
unaccompanied with regards to precip as low PWAT`s and relatively
weak forcing will not be able to develop much in the way of precip.
Beyond Sunday, the airmass does not look terribly cool, so only a
modest cooling trend is expected along with continued dry
conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions expected to continue.

High pressure remains in place over the terminals over the next
24 hours. Some passing high clouds but otherwise SKC.
Winds will be light, WLY/NWLY around 5-8 kts into early this
evening. Winds then becoming light and variable to calm overnight.
Potential for brief visibility restrictions at fog prone AGS and OGB
tonight but overall fog threat remains low.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR conditions likely continue into
the weekend with dry air in place.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$