929
FXUS62 KCAE 041145
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
645 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
An extended period of dry weather is expected this week as a
pair of high pressure centers move through the region.
Temperatures will be near to above normal through the weekend.
The next chance of rain holds off until the weekend with a
significant pattern change possible next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Key message(s):

- Dry high pressure continues to fill into the region this morning.

Following the trough ejection on Monday, dry high pressure continues
to fill into the region today. Clear skies overnight allowed for
some good radiational cooling despite a notable low level jet
and lows have fallen into the upper 30`s or low 40`s.
Throughout the rest of Tuesday, high pressure will continue to
push in from the northwest with some gusty winds out of the
northeast as the inversion breaks. Winds will then steadily
weaken throughout the day as the high moves ahead. Plenty of sun
will help temps warm into the upper 60`s and low 70`s despite
some modest cold advection to start the day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Key message(s):

- Warmer, dry and breezy on Wednesday.

High pressure moves offshore on Wednesday ahead of the passage
of a dry backdoor cold front on Wednesday night. Winds on
Wednesday will be out of the southwest and could be breezy at
times, though gusts appear to be below Lake Wind Advisory
criteria. After a chilly start, daytime temperatures will be
warmer with highs in the lower to mid 70s. The front clears the
forecast area at night shifting winds towards daybreak.
Temperatures fall into the mid to upper 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Key message(s):

- Dry weather is expected to continue through at least Friday.

- Temperatures remain near to above normal into the weekend.

- Much colder temperatures are possible early next week.

The extended begins with zonal flow aloft, transitioning to the
southwest on Friday as a trough passes to the north. A stronger
trough is expected to approach near the end of the long term,
potentially resulting in a significant pattern change early next
week. At the surface, another area of high pressure passes to
the north on Thursday, passing offshore on Friday ahead of a
weak frontal passage Friday night. Dry conditions and above
normal temperatures are expected through Friday with a chance of
rain Friday night with cold front. There may be additional rain
chances later in the weekend as well as the latest model
guidance shows the front stalling near the FA. Temperatures
should remain near to above normal through the weekend but the
aforementioned trough could bring much colder temperatures early
next week including the potential for frost or freeze
conditions at night.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions expected through the period.

High pressure is pushing into the region this morning with a low
level jet around 2k feet; max LLWS should be around 20-25 knots
through sunrise, so no TAF mention but worth noting. Gusty
northeast surface winds to around 18-20 knots are expected as
the morning inversion mixes out between 14-16z, so included a
tempo for this at all sites. Otherwise, winds will steadily
weaken out of the northeast throughout the afternoon as high
pressure moves overhead with no significant cloud cover or vsby
issues through the period.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...No significant aviation concerns through
late week.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...