Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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747
FXUS64 KCRP 040014
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
614 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 609 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A Marine Dense Fog Advisory is now in effect for the bays and
nearshore waters north of Port Aransas through midnight tonight
for visibilities 1 SM or less. Across inland areas, visibilities
are currently ranging between 2-4 miles. However, these
conditions will likely deteriorate late tonight into early
Thursday morning with areas of potential dense fog developing.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 609 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

- Medium to high rain chances (30-60%) today through Friday

- Potential minor coastal flooding today through late week

- Colder temperatures return Thursday and Friday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1111 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Overcast conditions and a light breeze lingers through the area
into the overnight hours. Friday morning into the afternoon a
cold front will pass through and bring a medium to high (30-60%)
chance of rainfall mainly across the Coastal Bend and Victoria
Crossroads, however rainfall totals will be negligible. Along with
the rainfall, temperatures will drop with lows reaching into the
mid 40s Thursday and Friday night. Highs are only expected to
climb into the 50s to mid 60s Thursday and Friday behind the
front. There is a medium chance for lows to reach into the upper
30s Thursday night into Friday morning. Chances are lower for
Friday night into Saturday morning but not out of the possibility.
There will be a slight warming trend Saturday into Sunday. We are
monitoring the potential for another cold front early next week,
that would cool down temperatures once again.

With the frontal passage, winds will increase over the waters
Thursday through the day Friday resulting in a Small Craft
Advisory conditions. P-ETTS is maintaining
tide levels around 1.8ft MSL through the weekend. Moderate to
strong onshore flow as well as increasing wave heights coinciding
with the full moon will lead to an increased risk of minor coastal
flooding.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Poor aviation conditions continue through this forecast cycle with
eastern terminals at IFR/LIFR levels and western ones at MVFR/IFR.
The overrunning pattern will persist through tomorrow ahead of the
next frontal boundary resulting in patchy light rain, drizzle, and
fog. Winds will remain light and variable through the night, but
will strengthen to around 12-15 knots by the afternoon with gusts to
near 25 knots across the eastern sites.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1111 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) can be expected
today through tonight across the coastal waters. Another cold
front is forecast to push through Thursday morning, bringing
another wave of fresh to strong northeasterly flow in its wake
through Friday morning. This will likely warrant a Small Craft
Advisory. Winds weaken to gentle to moderate heading into the
weekend, with the wind direction varying. Moderate rain chances
today will increase to medium to high, 60-90%, Thursday through
Friday. Low to medium chances linger through Saturday evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1111 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the week.
Winds will remain light to moderate inland, predominately out of the
north to northeast. Minimum relative humidity will remain above 30%
daily through the weekend. Sunday`s relative humidity values will
dip below 30% due to a passing cold front, however due to low ERC
and winds confidence is low for any elevated fire weather
conditions. Medium to High rain chances through Friday, with
greatest chances over the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    60  63  46  56 /  30  40  50  40
Victoria          55  56  43  52 /  60  60  30  40
Laredo            57  61  48  61 /  10  30  40  30
Alice             58  62  45  55 /  20  40  50  40
Rockport          61  62  48  58 /  50  50  50  50
Cotulla           56  57  47  55 /  20  40  40  30
Kingsville        60  65  47  57 /  20  40  40  30
Navy Corpus       64  66  49  59 /  30  50  50  50

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ236-237-255.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...RP/NP/92
AVIATION...ANM/88