Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
070 FXUS64 KCRP 031103 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 503 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 450 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Near normal temperatures return with above normal temperatures on deck late this week - Dry through next weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1133 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 Near normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday with above normal temperatures returning Wednesday. The warmer temperatures are expected to persist through Sunday before near normal temperatures return once again early next week behind our next cold front. Apart from normal to above normal temperatures, dry conditions are expected with slim chances (less than 5%) for rain daily through the weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 450 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 VFR conditions will prevail during the TAF period. Light and variable winds will persist through the morning before becoming more east-southeasterly by afternoon. Winds will return to light and variable overnight Monday into Tuesday morning. Removed the mention of MVFR VSBYs this morning at VCT due to patchy fog as probabilities have decreased this cycle. Probabilities look better for fog development at our easternmost terminals towards the end of this TAF period perhaps owing to the slight uptick in moisture from the turn to onshore flow this afternoon. However, confidence still remains too low at this time to include mention in the TAFs this cycle. Will reevaluate during the next issuance. && .MARINE... Issued at 1133 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 Light to gentle (BF 2-3) southeast winds are expected tomorrow through Thursday before increasing to a moderate breeze (BF 4) Thursday night and continuing through Friday. Dry conditions are expected with slim chances (less than 5%) for rain daily through Saturday before low chances (15-20%) for rain return Sunday across the Gulf waters. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1133 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 Lower than normal minimum relative humidity are expected tomorrow (20-30% across the Brush Country) as well as Friday and Saturday (25- 30% across the Brush Country). Apart from the lower than normal minimum relative humidity, Energy Release Component (ERC) values will range from the 80-90th percentile tomorrow and 70-85th percentiles late this week across the area where the lowest humidity values will be located. While relative humidity values will be below critical levels with moderate to high ERC values, winds are expected to only range from 5-10 mph with the forecast leaning towards the lower end of the range for most of the day. Therefore, the light winds should be sufficient enough to negate elevated fire weather conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 79 60 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 79 49 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 83 56 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 82 54 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 78 64 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 82 53 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 80 56 82 58 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 76 68 78 68 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JCP/84 AVIATION...KRS/98