Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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846
FXUS64 KCRP 091707
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1107 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1056 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

- Warming trend through the week ahead of the next cold front.

- Dense morning fog possible by mid week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Not much of a change from the previous forecast package with
generally benign weather conditions prevailing through late week.
Models continue to disagree on timing and strength of the next
frontal boundary over the weekend. However, there is some agreement
on a mid-level shortwave trough and surge in high pressure Wednesday
to Thursday period, resulting in a brief wind shift to an offshore
component. Rain chances return along the coast and over the marine
zones late week into the weekend as the surface high drifts eastward
and moisture begins to increase again across the area.

After a cold start to the day today with lows in the mid 30s to mid
40s, a warming trend will begin this afternoon as weak onshore flow
resumes. Highs are forecast to reach the mid 70s to low 80s daily
into the weekend ahead of the next cold front. Fog probabilities
increase to a medium chance by Wednesday morning (SREF 30-60%), and
continue nightly through the end of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1056 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through a majority of this forecast
period. South-southwesterly winds will remain below 10 knots
under clear skies. Probabilities of fog developing over the
inland Coastal Plains and portions of the southern Brush Country have
increased this cycle, primarily impacting VCT/ALI/LRD from 10-14Z
Wednesday morning. Included TEMPO groups this forecast to denote
this.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Winds will gradually shift onshore today but will remain at gentle
to moderate (BF 3-4) levels through late week. Another cold front is
expected by the weekend along with a 20-40% chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Minimum relative humidity values will dip below 30% daily through
mid week, mainly across the Brush Country. However, due to low ERC
and generally weak to moderate winds, confidence is low for any
elevated fire weather conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    52  78  55  74 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          46  77  47  74 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            50  80  51  76 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             48  79  51  77 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          56  73  55  70 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           45  79  47  74 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        50  80  54  77 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       60  73  60  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...KRS/98