Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
186 FXUS64 KCRP 031124 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 524 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 517 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 - Low to medium rain chances (30-60%) today through Friday - Potential minor coastal flooding today through late week && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1240 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 As onshore flow resumes today an overrunning pattern will develop leading to increased rain chances across the area. PWATs are progged to rise to near 1.8-1.9 inches by this evening, which is well above normal (99th percentile) for this time of year. Although most of the rain will concentrate over the Victoria Crossroads with PoPs at 30- 60% today through tonight, medium chances will spread westward (40- 60%) Thursday morning ahead of the next cold front. The boundary will swing by the region and exit into the coastal waters by Thursday afternoon with rain chances shifting back eastward. Low to medium rain chances will then continue through Friday night before drying out over the weekend as another boundary moves through and high pressure settles behind it. Temperatures will be warmer today, with highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Thursday will be a few degrees cooler, but highs will struggle to get out of the 50s Friday owing to the increased cloud coverage and rain in the wake of Thursday`s front. Warmer temperatures return over the weekend, but will be cooler early next week behind the next boundary. Thursday night and Monday night will be the coldest, with lows mostly in the 40s. We will continue to monitor beach conditions for potential minor coastal flooding today through late week, with tide levels forecast to peak close to 1.8 ft MSL. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 517 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 A 2.5-3.5 kft cloud deck is resulting in mostly MVFR conditions across South Texas with this cloud deck remaining in place through late morning. After 00Z, conditions degrade into IFR conditions thanks to even further reduced CIGs and patchy fog developing. This will be most evident after 06Z when most of the areas starts transitioning into LIFR CIGs, with VIS further being reduced thanks to scattered rain and patchy fog Across the Victoria Crossroads, the chance of visibility being reduced below 1/4 SM is 20-40%. A cold front moving through at the start of the next TAF cycle will quickly transition into more MVFR conditions. && .MARINE... Issued at 1240 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 A gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) can be expected today through tonight across the coastal waters. Another cold front is forecast to push through Thursday morning, bringing another wave of fresh to strong northeasterly flow in its wake through Thursday night. This will likely warrant a Small Craft Advisory. Winds weaken to gentle to moderate heading into the weekend, with the wind direction varying. Moderate rain chances today will increase to medium to high, 60-90%, Thursday through Friday. Low rain chances linger through Saturday morning. && .FIRE WEATHER... && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 69 60 68 48 / 20 30 60 50 Victoria 67 55 62 43 / 40 60 60 40 Laredo 75 60 67 50 / 10 20 50 40 Alice 70 57 66 45 / 10 20 50 50 Rockport 71 60 67 48 / 40 50 70 50 Cotulla 71 55 61 47 / 0 30 50 40 Kingsville 71 60 68 47 / 20 20 50 50 Navy Corpus 72 64 70 51 / 40 40 70 50 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...ANM/88 AVIATION...AE/82