Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
498 FXUS64 KCRP 251939 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 139 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1240 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 - A stronger cold front should push through by tomorrow bringing a low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms along the southern Coastal Bend and Brush Country. - Another strong cold front will push through late this weekend into early next week bringing decently cooler temperatures .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1240 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 A stronger cold front is expected to push through tomorrow morning into the afternoon. This is expected to bring cooler temperatures and stronger winds over the region. This could potentially lead to some Small Craft Advisory conditions over the waters. Conditions should subside by Wednesday night. Expect Thanksgiving to be cool and pleasant with highs in the 70s across the area. Rain chances are expected to return this weekend as moisture surges into the region coupling with our next strong cold front. Temperatures are expected to be decently cooler and more "fall" like behind the front. Guidance is hinting at highs potentially hovering in the 50s and potentially some 40s. Not super confident in this solution given that it is still days out, though given the big signal in models trending cooler the temperatures were slightly adjusted Sunday through Wednesday of next week. There will be a an isolated to scattered chance for some precipitation during this period as well. Lows do drop down into the 30s beginning Monday night, though the lows might not be close to freezing at this time it will definitely be something to watch over the coming days. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the remainder of the TAF cycle. Winds are expected to remain light before increasing tomorrow morning with the arrival of a stronger cold front. Winds will be gusting around 25 to 30 knots. && .MARINE... Issued at 1240 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 North-northeast gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) through tonight will strengthen to strong to near gale force (BF 5-6) as a cold front approaches from the north. Moderate to strong breeze (BF 4-6) can be expected through next week. Low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and returning this weekend. Chances will increase to a medium to high chance this weekend as our next strong cold front approaches the region. Chances linger through the middle of next week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1240 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 Minimum relative humidity values do briefly drop to the 25-35% range across the Brush Country this afternoon behind the cold front. The region overall will return to RHs above 30-40% min RH by tomorrow and continue through the forecast period. Though drier air will be present this afternoon, Energy Release Components remain low (below the 35th percentile) through the upcoming week keeping the fire risk low. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 60 72 52 73 / 20 10 0 0 Victoria 53 72 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 62 73 52 74 / 30 10 0 0 Alice 58 74 47 75 / 20 10 0 0 Rockport 60 74 54 74 / 10 0 0 0 Cotulla 56 72 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 60 72 50 75 / 30 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 65 72 60 73 / 20 10 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...NP/92