Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
928 FXUS64 KCRP 101836 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1236 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 - Weak, dry frontal passage this afternoon. - Gradual warm-up through the weekend ahead of the next cold front on Sunday. - Patchy to areas of fog possible inland and across the coastal waters beginning Thursday night and continuing through the weekend. - Low to medium chance for rain this weekend ahead of Sunday cold front. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 A weak cold front is expected to move through this afternoon, bringing a brief push of cool, dry air across the region. Given the very limited available moisture, no precipitation is expected with the boundary. However, its passage will reinforce light northerly flow and allow temperatures tonight and Thursday to run a few degrees lower than what we`ve experienced the past 24 hours or so. Also on Thursday, reinforcing surface high pressure behind the weak front will shift eastward, allowing winds to turn east- southeasterly. This will initiate a modest return of Gulf moisture and weak WWA, gradually increasing temperatures back above normal into the upper 70s to low 80s. This increasing low-level humidity will likely support fog development during the overnight and early morning hours beginning Thursday night. This includes sea fog as well if light winds and cooler shelf waters persist. A stronger cold front is expected to propagate through sometime Sunday. Moderate moisture will pool ahead of the boundary, and lift should be sufficient to produce a low chance (20-40%) of isolated to scattered showers. Cooler and drier air will settle over the region behind the front on Sunday night into Monday. Lows Monday morning will likely fall into the mid-40s to mid-50s inland and upper 50s to low 60s along the coast, with daytime highs returning to slightly below seasonal averages. Conditions will remain quiet and dry through the day Monday before onshore flow reestablishes itself, allowing moisture to steadily increase again by Tuesday. Another weak disturbance may approach the region around this time, bringing another low-end chance (~20%) for rain to portions of the eastern Coastal Plains. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1104 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 VFR conditions will prevail this period across all of South Texas. A weak cold front will pass through this afternoon into the early evening which will shift light winds, generally under 10 knots, to the north-northeast. The drier air in the wake will reduce fog chances for Thursday morning. && .MARINE... Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Gentle to moderate winds (BF 3-4) will shift to the north-northeast this evening as a weak frontal boundary pushes through the region. Behind this front, a reinforcing surge of high pressure moves in, allowing for onshore winds to return late Thursday and continue into the weekend. With onshore flow resulting in elevated moisture, sea fog potential increases as we head into the weekend with the best chances of fog being during the overnight and morning hours. Rain chances remain next to none through the remainder of the workweek before a low to medium chance (20-50%) of showers and thunderstorms returns this weekend ahead of our next frontal passage. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Minimum relative humidity values will dip below 30% through Thursday across portions of the Brush Country. However, due to generally low ERCs in the 50-70th percentile and weak winds of 5-10 mph, elevated fire weather conditions remain negligible at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 51 70 57 78 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 41 71 52 78 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 48 73 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 46 72 52 80 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 51 67 58 74 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 42 71 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 49 72 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 56 67 62 74 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KRS/98 AVIATION...KRS/98