Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
525 FXUS64 KCRP 091053 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 453 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 450 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Below freezing dewpoints have crawled in from the north into the rural cold drainage areas from La Salle to Victoria counties. These lower dewpoints will enhance the potential for freezing temperatures over the next couple of hours in the aforementioned area. A few mesonet sites across that stretch of counties have reporting freezing temperatures already. A Freeze Warning is now in effect through 8 AM for the rural and cold drainage areas from La Salle County to Victoria County. && .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 450 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 - Warming trend through the week ahead of the next cold front. - Dense morning fog possible by mid week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Not much of a change from the previous forecast package with generally benign weather conditions prevailing through late week. Models continue to disagree on timing and strength of the next frontal boundary over the weekend. However, there is some agreement on a mid-level shortwave trough and surge in high pressure Wednesday to Thursday period, resulting in a brief wind shift to an offshore component. Rain chances return along the coast and over the marine zones late week into the weekend as the surface high drifts eastward and moisture begins to increase again across the area. After a cold start to the day today with lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s, a warming trend will begin this afternoon as weak onshore flow resumes. Highs are forecast to reach the mid 70s to low 80s daily into the weekend ahead of the next cold front. Fog probabilities increase to a medium chance by Wednesday morning (SREF 30-60%), and continue nightly through the end of the work week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 VFR conditions prevail through the forecast across South Texas under mostly clear skies and light variable winds becoming south to southeast this coming afternoon and evening. && .MARINE... Issued at 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Winds will gradually shift onshore today but will remain at gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) levels through late week. Another cold front is expected by the weekend along with a 20-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Minimum relative humidity values will dip below 30% daily through mid week, mainly across the Brush Country. However, due to low ERC and generally weak to moderate winds, confidence is low for any elevated fire weather conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 69 52 78 55 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 69 46 77 47 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 72 50 80 51 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 71 48 79 51 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 67 56 73 55 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 71 45 79 47 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 71 50 80 54 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 67 60 73 60 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for TXZ229>234. GM...None. && $$ UPDATE...EMF/94 DISCUSSION...ANM/88 AVIATION...EMF/94