Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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627
FXUS64 KCRP 092326
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
526 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 523 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

- Warming trend through the week ahead of the next cold front.

- Dense morning fog expected by midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1123 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Stable conditions will prevail through much of of the work week,
with little change from the previous forecast cycle. A weak front
and a reinforcing surge of high pressure are forecast to slide
across the region late Wednesday into Thursday, though its local
influence will be limited to an onshore wind shift and a brief
hindrance to warming temperatures. Given the very limited
available moisture, no precipitation is expected with the
boundary.

Moisture return increases late in the week as the aforementioned
surface high shifts east and southerly surface flow strengthens.
As humidity increases, highs will moderate out into upper 70s to
low 80s with overnight lows trending milder beginning Thursday
night, rising to the mid-50s to low 60s. The uptick in boundary
layer moisture may also promote fog development beginning early
tomorrow morning and continuing through late week.

By this weekend, attention turns to our next cold front, through
model guidance continues to differ slightly regarding timing and
strength. Timing has shifted later in the forecast period to late
Sunday into early Monday. Nonetheless, the weekend into early
next week appears to be the next meaningful opportunity for rain,
with low chances (20-30%) for coastal showers as early as Friday
night into Saturday and broader chances (20-50%) increasing into
late weekend or early next week depending on the frontal
progression and moisture return.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions are generally expected throughout this TAF cycle
with light winds. The only blip in a perfect VFR forecast will be
the potential for IFR/LIFR visibilities for ALI and VCT and MVFR
conditions at LRD due to fog between 11-14z tomorrow morning. Any
fog that develops should dissipate by 14-15z the latest.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1123 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Onshore flow returns this afternoon, remaining at gentle to
moderate (BF 3-4) levels through late week. There is a low chance
for patchy sea fog overnight tonight before a disturbance moves
through late Wednesday. A better potential for sea fog may come
over the weekend ahead of the next front. Confidence remains low
at this time. A low to medium chance (20-50%) chance of showers
and thunderstorms will accompany the aforementioned weekend front.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1123 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Minimum relative humidity values will dip below 30% through
Wednesday across portions of the Brush Country. However, due to
generally low ERCs in the 50-70th percentile and weak winds of 5-10
mph, elevated fire weather conditions remain negligible at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    51  77  54  72 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          46  76  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            51  80  52  73 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             47  79  51  75 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          55  73  55  70 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           45  79  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        49  80  54  74 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       59  73  59  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...JCP/84