776
FXUS64 KCRP 071854
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1254 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1236 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

- Strong winds and colder temperatures behind a cold front this
  evening.

- Small Craft Advisories in effect 6 PM this evening through noon
Monday.

- Wind Advisory in effect from 9 PM through 6 AM Monday for the
coastal counties and islands.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1236 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Fog has lifted and mostly sunny skies will persist this
afternoon. A strong cold front is expected to move southeastward
across S TX through the afternoon hours. The stronger north winds
and colder air will be lagging behind, but are expected to filter
into the area by this evening. Strongest winds reaching Wind
Advisory criteria (25-35 mph with frequent gusts 35-40 mph) will
be across the Coastal counties and islands tonight. Winds are
expected to drop below Wind Advisory criteria by Monday morning,
becoming light by Monday afternoon.

Temperatures behind the cold front will drop into the 40s tonight
with highs in the 60s Monday. Lows Monday night will be colder with
mid 30s north to 40s south. Lows across the islands are expected to
be in the 50s. Highs in the 80s return by mid-week, then more
seasonal temperatures by the weekend with the next cold front.

Mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will persist across the region
through the end of the week ahead of the next cold front. Timing
and strength of the next cold front is uncertain due to
differences in the models. At this time, rain chances look low to
very low (<10%) this coming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

VFR conditions can be expected through the TAF period. The main
concern will be winds behind a cold front. A light westerly wind has
already developed across most of S TX this afternoon, but the colder
and windier conditions are expected to develop through the evening
and overnight hours. The strongest northerly winds will be across
the Coastal Bend with occasional gusts up to 35 knots possible
across the coastal counties. This will mainly affect CRP TAF site.
North winds will gradually relax through Monday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1236 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

A gentle to moderate westerly breeze across the coastal waters
will continue this afternoon ahead a cold front. Winds are
forecast to shift to the north and strengthen to strong to near
gale levels in the wake of the front tonight. A Small Craft
Advisory is in effect tonight through Monday morning. Advisory
conditions may linger through Monday afternoon due to seas.
Northerly winds will gradually shift southeast to south by Tuesday
becoming gentle to moderate once again. Another cold front is
expected by the end of the week along with a 20-30% chance of
showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1236 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

A cold front will move through South Texas this afternoon with
minimum relative humidity values dipping below 30% both today and
Monday. However, due to low ERC and generally weak to moderate
winds, confidence is low for any elevated fire weather conditions.
Northerly winds are expected to increase along the coastal counties
and islands this evening, but RH values should remain elevated for
the coast. Onshore flow returns on Tuesday, with moisture increasing
across the region and limiting our fire weather concerns through mid
week. Minimum relative humidity values will dip below 30% again late
week as another frontal boundary moves across, but no fire weather
concerns are expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    45  64  44  69 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          40  64  36  68 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            46  68  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             43  66  39  71 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          47  64  48  68 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           41  68  39  71 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        44  66  41  71 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       50  63  53  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Wind Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Monday for
     TXZ245-342>345-347-442-443-447.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Monday
     for GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...TE/81
AVIATION...TE/81