997
FNUS28 KWNS 082125
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0323 PM CST Mon Dec 08 2025

Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

...Synopsis...
Upper and mid-level flow pattern will be characterized by persistent
troughing across the eastern U.S. with ridging over the  West. An
embedded mid-level short wave within the broad northwesterly flow
regime along with a strong surface low moving through the Great
Lakes region, will usher in a cold, continental air mass into much
of the eastern U.S. behind a robust cold front Days
3-4/Wednesday-Thursday. This should reduce the overall fire weather
threat across east CONUS.

The enhanced northwesterly mid-level jet over the central U.S. along
with surface troughing in the High Plains will promote stronger
downslope winds in the lee of the Central Rockies through Day
5/Friday. Limited RH reductions coupled with an unsupportive
fuelscape will likely mitigate a broader fire weather threat. Thus,
introduction of critical probabilities were not warranted.

Forecast confidence remains high across the Southwest as dry
conditions with above normal temperatures under an expanding ridge
aloft persists across the West. However, generally weak surface
pressure gradients and marginal fuels within the region will
mitigate overall fire weather concerns west of the Continental
Divide through early next week. The dry conditions will continue to
exert influence on fuels across the Southern Plains which could
contribute to increasing wildfire potential into eastern NM/West TX
through this week. Some forecast uncertainty exists in strength of
lee troughing and thus wind magnitude across the Southern Plains on
Day 4/Thursday and Day 6/Saturday, precluding introduction of
critical probabilities at this time.

..Williams.. 12/08/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$