Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
475 FNUS28 KWNS 252124 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0322 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 Valid 271200Z - 031200Z Deep upper-level troughing is expected over the eastern US with well below normal temperatures amid a dry post-frontal airmass through the end of the week and into Day 5/Saturday. An upper-level short wave trough is likely to track from the northern Rockies into the central US before strengthening over the Midwest/Great Lakes this weekend. Deeper upper-level troughing is likely to develop over the West this weekend and early next week, but forecast uncertainty remains regarding the location and magnitude of this troughing. ...Day 3/Thursday - Day 4/Friday: Portions of the Southeast... Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely along/east of the Piedmont and into southern Georgia and north Florida Day 3/Thursday. RH is expected to dip below elevated/critical criteria across these areas with 8-15 mph northwest-northerly winds overlapping. RH will likely be lower on Day 4/Friday in portions of southern/central Georgia into central/north Florida and possibly portions of South Carolina. Mitigating factors will be cooler temperatures, especially at higher elevations and farther north, and the potential for rainfall today/tomorrow. Locally elevated conditions are likely with portions of southern Georgia and north Florida currently favored, but given the forecast uncertainty, probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were not introduced. ...Day 5/Saturday: Southwest Texas... Dry/breezy conditions are likely in portions of southwest Texas Day 5/Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. However, given the forecast uncertainty with track of the upper-level shortwave trough, frontal timing, and the overlap of critical winds/RH coincident with receptive fuels, probabilities were not introduced. ..Nauslar.. 11/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$