Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
925 FNUS28 KWNS 232117 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level short wave currently over the Southwest will shift eastward and deamplify through Day 3/Tuesday while an accompanying surface cold front will aid in bringing more precipitation to much of eastern U.S. A strengthening surface cyclone over the Great Lakes and deepening mid-level trough encompassing the eastern U.S. on Day 4/Thursday, should usher in colder and drier air mass into much of the region through late week, mitigating fire weather concerns. Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a deep upper-level trough evolving across the West over the weekend with subsequent surface cyclogenesis over the Central Plains supporting the potential for additional widespread precipitation across the central U.S. Weak offshore flow across southern CA along with dry conditions under a ridge aloft are expected Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday. However, recent expansive precipitation events have limited fuel receptiveness to wildfire spread across southern CA. Overall, minimal fire weather concerns across the contiguous U.S. are expected next week. ..Williams.. 11/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$