688
FNUS28 KWNS 242105
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

Valid 261200Z - 021200Z

Deep upper-level troughing over the eastern US and weaker
upper-level ridging over the West will continue through mid-week
before transitioning into quasi-zonal flow across the CONUS.
Upper-level troughing is likely to develop over the West this
weekend, but forecast guidance varies widely on the strength and
trajectory of the troughing over the West.

...Day 4/Thursday - Day 5/Friday: Southeast Coastal Plain into
Florida...
A cold front will push through the Southeast on Day 3/Wednesday -
Day 4/Thursday, with dry/locally breezy post-frontal conditions
expected. Elevated to locally critically winds/RH are possible from
the coastal Carolinas into the Florida Panhandle Day 4/Thursday,
with dry/locally breezy conditions likely continuing Day 5/Friday
and expanding into central Florida. Probabilities for critical fire
weather conditions were not added due to potential rainfall ahead of
the front and uncertainty regarding the overlap of critical
winds/RH. If the rainfall does not materialize or confidence grows
in areas that will receive little to no rainfall, probabilities will
be necessary in subsequent outlooks.

...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Southwest Texas...
Dry/windy conditions are possible across southwest Texas this
weekend. However, given the aforementioned high uncertainty
regarding the potential troughing over the West and marginal fuel
dryness, no probabilities for critical conditions were introduced.

..Nauslar.. 11/24/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$