180
FNUS28 KWNS 032146
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025

Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

...Synopsis...
Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a large scale upper-level
troughing pattern should hold across the eastern U.S. through the
middle of next week. This should facilitate a mostly stable and
colder air mass across much of the eastern U.S., limiting the fire
weather threat. A mid-level jet and associated ascent in addition to
a frontal boundary meandering near the Gulf Coast should bring
several rounds of rain to much of the Deep South and Piedmont
regions, where severe/extreme drought lingers in portions of
southern GA/northern FL. Farther west, model guidance shows a
gradually expanding upper-level ridge across building into CA and
Desert Southwest through the weekend, allowing dry conditions and
above normal temperatures to develop. A short wave within the
broader northwest flow aloft translates southeastward into the
central/southern Rockies on Day 4/Saturday while a lee cyclone
evolves across the central/southern High Plains. Dry and breezy
conditions should develop across eastern NM and West TX on Day
4/Saturday but antecedent precipitation tonight into Day 2/Thursday,
including accumulating snowfall, should mitigate fire weather
impacts overall into the weekend. The Southern Plains will remain
the focus for fire weather concerns on Days 7-8/Tuesday-Wednesday
with potential lee cyclone/trough development along the
central/southern High Plains under robust northwest flow aloft.
However, uncertainty in fuels precludes introducing critical
probabilities at this time.

..Williams.. 12/03/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$