Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
131 FNUS28 KWNS 102150 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z Upper-level ridging will continue and potentially amplify over the West through early next week, but weak upper lows/troughs are likely to traverse through the ridging over the southern half of the West this weekend into early next week. Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over the Great Lakes and Northeast into mid-next week, but a stronger upper low is forecast to move into these areas early to mid-next week. The southern half of the West, southern/central Plains, and much of the Southeast will receive little to no rainfall through early next week. Dry/breezy conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central High Plains, most likely from southeast Colorado into eastern New Mexico and far west Texas Day 4/Saturday ahead/along an approaching cold front. Another round of dry/breezy conditions are likely early to mid-next week, but the timing/magnitude of potential elevated/critical winds/RH remains uncertain. Fuels continue to cure due to recent dry weather, with increasing fire activity noted during dry/breezy periods in portions of Texas and Oklahoma. Rain chances increase along the Rio Grande and into central/east/north Texas this weekend and early to mid-next week, but how much rain and how far north/west it extends remains uncertain. However, heavy rain is unlikely in west/central/north Texas. Dry cold frontal passages late this week and early next week will continue to dry fuels across the Southeast. However, recent rainfall and the lack of overlap of elevated/critical winds/RH preclude introducing probabilities. ..Nauslar.. 12/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$