839
FNUS28 KWNS 072200
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 PM CST Fri Nov 07 2025

Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

...Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday...
A broad, highly amplified large-scale trough will move slowly
eastward across the eastern half of the CONUS, while an upstream
ridge builds over the West. In the wake of a related cold front
moving southward across the Gulf of America, dry/windy conditions
are expected across much of South/Central TX. The combination of
20-25 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 15-20 percent RH
atop increasingly dry/receptive fuels will favor critical
fire-weather conditions during the afternoon. Dry/breezy
post-frontal conditions will linger across parts of the Southeast
and Gulf Coast states on Day 4/Monday -- especially across parts of
southern GA into northern FL and the Panhandle. While elevated
conditions are possible, confidence in Critical conditions is too
low to add probabilities at this time.

Farther west, expansive surface high pressure over the Intermountain
West will yield a tightening offshore pressure gradient across
southern CA on Day 3/Sunday (LAX-DAG gradient peaking around -4 mb).
As a result, dry/breezy northeasterly surface winds will favor
elevated conditions over the wind-prone mountains/valleys of Ventura
and Los Angeles Counties. However, a lack of upper-level support and
the expected brief/localized nature of these conditions precludes
Critical probabilities.

...Day 5/Tuesday...
A belt of moderate-strong west-northwesterly midlevel flow will
become established across the Rockies on Day 5/Tuesday. This will
favor lee troughing and dry/breezy southerly return flow across the
southern Plains. Given the potential for elevated to locally
critical conditions over central TX, 40-percent Critical
probabilities have been maintained.

..Weinman.. 11/07/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$