Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
086 FNUS28 KWNS 282116 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0314 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z An upper-level trough will track out of the Rockies and strengthen over the Midwest/Great Lakes Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday, while another upper-level trough will move out of the Intermountain West and deepen over the central US Day 4/Monday into Day 5/Tuesday. Yet another upper-level trough is likely to move southward into the West Day 5/Tuesday - Day 6/Wednesday. Late in the period, upper-level ridging is likely over the northeast Pacific onto the West Coast with upper-level troughing over the eastern US. Overall, fire weather concerns will be mostly low, but there may be some locations at times where elevated fire weather conditions are possible. Multiple days of dry/breezy conditions are likely on portions of the southern High Plains ahead of expected cold frontal passages this upcoming week, but there is a fair amount of forecast uncertainty regarding the magnitude and location of these dry/breezy conditions. Widespread rainfall is likely across most of the Southeast, but portions of southern Georgia and Florida could receive little appreciable rainfall, with dry post-frontal conditions likely mid to late next week. Given the forecast tracks of the upper-level troughs over the West, periodic offshore winds in California, especially southern California, are likely. However, fuels are unlikely to be receptive given the recent precipitation across the state, and only potentially elevated winds/RH are forecast currently. ..Nauslar.. 11/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$