834
FNUS28 KWNS 172134
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

Valid 191200Z - 251200Z

Fire weather concerns across the CONUS remain low through early next
week. A deep mid/upper trough and associated enhanced mid-level flow
pivoting through the Southwest through midweek brings a region of
broad lift/ascent to the Southern Plains over an northward advancing
warm front by Day 3/Wednesday. Anomalously high boundary layer
moisture ahead of the upper trough will support much needed
widespread showers and thunderstorms across the Southern Plains from
Days 3-5/Wednesday-Friday. This should mitigate fire weather
concerns where fuels still remain quite dry and receptive to fire
spread. An evolving surface low over the Southern Plains late this
week and accompanying frontal boundary moves into the Southeast by
Saturday, bringing additional rainfall and reduced fire weather
concerns to much of Ohio River Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Southeast.
Another mid-level trough and sufficient low-level Gulf moisture
provides additional opportunities for precipitation to the Southern
Plains early next week. However,  uncertainty in timing and expected
state of fuels renders little confidence in fire weather impacts to
the region at this time with no critical probabilities introduced.

..Williams.. 11/17/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$