Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 052154
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025

Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

Model guidance consensus indicates little deviation in the overall
upper-level pattern across CONUS through next week. Ridging nudges
further into CA and the Southwest while troughing persists across
the eastern U.S. A warming and drying trend under the ridge should
continue across the much of the Southwest, CA and Southern Plains
through much of next week while colder/wetter conditions exist
across the eastern U.S., largely mitigating fire weather threats. A
dry cold front will initially shutter fire weather concerns across
the Southern Plains Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday, with relatively warm
temperatures returning midweek contributing to drying of fuels
across the region. A strengthening polar jet across the Northern
Rockies and central/northern Plains and subsequent stronger surface
cyclogenesis in the Central Plains could promote dry and breezy
conditions across eastern NM/West TX vicinity on Day 7/Thursday.
However, uncertainty in fuels and relative humidity reductions
limits confidence in introducing critical fire weather probabilities
at this time.

..Williams.. 12/05/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$