760
FNUS28 KWNS 012117
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0315 PM CST Mon Dec 01 2025

Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

...Synopsis...
A generally benign fire weather pattern is expected across eastern
CONUS through early next week as successive cold fronts and
attendant precipitation along with cool/cold conditions mitigate
significant fire weather potential. Limited atmospheric moisture and
northward displacement of passing mid/upper level short waves should
keep dry conditions in place across the Southwest and portions of
the Southern Plains through the weekend. Latest model guidance
suggests another offshore wind event across southern CA Day
3-4/Wednesday-Thursday as surface high pressure settles into the
Intermountain West. However, fuels are expected to remain
unreceptive/marginal through the event, limiting the impact from dry
offshore flow. Stronger lee cyclogenesis is possible on Day
6/Saturday across the central/southern High Plains as a mid-level
wave descends southeastward from the Northern Rockies. The
subsequent dry and breezy conditions from a tightening surface
pressure gradient could bring a fire weather threat to portions of
eastern NM and West TX, but uncertainty in timing/position of
surface low and overlap with sufficiently dry fuels precludes
introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

..Williams.. 12/01/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$