Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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579
FNUS28 KWNS 022100
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025

Valid 041200Z - 101200Z

...Synopsis...
Cold surface high pressure should be the predominant feature across
much of the Midwest, Great Lakes and Northeast as persistent
northwesterly flow aloft remains over the eastern U.S. through early
next week. Mid-level short waves interacting with deeper boundary
layer moisture and surface frontal features should bring widespread
precipitation to much of the Deep South through the weekend, further
mitigating fire weather concerns. Farther west, complimentary
upper-level ridging nosing into the CA coast should maintain above
normal temperatures and minimal precipitation across much of the
lower elevations of the Southwest, Great Basin and lower CO River
Basin through early next week. However, multiple short waves within
the broader northwesterly flow should bring ample mountain snow and
lower fire weather concerns overall across the Intermountain West.

...Day 5/Saturday - Southern Plains...
Lee cyclogenesis across the central/southern Plains in response to
increasing northwesterly flow over the central/southern Rockies
could support dry and breezy conditions across portions of eastern
NM/West TX on Saturday. However, forecast uncertainty remains
elevated regarding strength and location of incipient surface low
across the central/southern Plains Saturday. Marginal expected fuel
dryness could also limit overall fire weather threat which precludes
introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

..Williams.. 12/02/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$