605
FNUS28 KWNS 312152
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0451 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

...Day 3-4/Sunday-Monday...
A surface trough extending southwestward from the Upper Midwest to
the central High Plains and increasing influence from a strong mid
-level polar jet overhead should bring windy and dry conditions to
southeast WY and the NE Panhandle on Day 3/Sunday. Lack of recent
rainfall and dry/curing fuels will support at least an elevated fire
weather concern for the area, with 40% critical probabilities added
for Sunday. An upper-level low moving through the southeastern U.S.
and evolving coastal low is expected to bring cooler temperatures,
increased cloud cover and the potential for some wetting rainfall
across the region early next week, mitigating fire weather concerns.


...Day 5-8/Tuesday-Friday...
A generally active upper wave pattern is anticipated across CONUS
emerges by midweek. Dry conditions are likely to persist across the
Southwest and much of the Great Plains through late next week as
low-level moisture is largely shunted to the south and east as cold
fronts sweep through northern Plains into the eastern U.S. The dry
conditions across the Southwest should allow further drying of fuels
across the southern and central High Plains. A stronger mid-level
short wave expected to move into the Southwest along with associated
lee cyclone development, should promote dry and breezy conditions
across parts of the southern High Plains on Day 7/Thursday. Several
days of above normal temperatures and dry conditions preceding this
feature should support a drier fuelscape. The overlap of dry, warm
and breezy conditions amid drier fuels is most likely across the
OK/TX Panhandles and far eastern NM where 40% critical probabilities
were introduced.

..Williams.. 10/31/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$