Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
925
FNUS28 KWNS 232117
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0315 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

Valid 251200Z - 011200Z

...Synopsis...
A mid-level short wave currently over the Southwest will shift
eastward and deamplify through Day 3/Tuesday while an accompanying
surface cold front will aid in bringing more precipitation to much
of eastern U.S. A strengthening surface cyclone over the Great Lakes
and deepening mid-level trough encompassing the eastern U.S. on Day
4/Thursday, should usher in colder and drier air mass into much of
the region through late week, mitigating fire weather concerns.
Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a deep upper-level trough
evolving across the West over the weekend with subsequent surface
cyclogenesis over the Central Plains supporting the potential for
additional widespread precipitation across the central U.S. Weak
offshore flow across southern CA along with dry conditions under a
ridge aloft are expected Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday. However, recent
expansive precipitation events have limited fuel receptiveness to
wildfire spread across southern CA. Overall, minimal fire weather
concerns across the contiguous U.S. are expected next week.

..Williams.. 11/23/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$