Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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721
ACUS48 KWNS 300934
SWOD48
SPC AC 300932

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Valid 031200Z - 081200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A series of mid-level troughs will progress across the central and
eastern CONUS this week, which will usher in surface high pressure
and associated cold, stable air for much of the northern, central
and eastern CONUS to the end of this week. By around Days 6-8
(Friday-Sunday), the passage of a mid-level trough across the
central Plains into the TN Valley may encourage surface low
development along the Gulf Coast. Here, enough moisture return is
anticipated for a chance of scattered thunderstorms. Medium-range
guidance hints at the possibility of a high shear/low CAPE parameter
space shaping up along the Gulf Coast during this time frame.
However, details on the exact placement of features, such as the
surface low or warm front, differ too much among medium-range
guidance members for the introduction of severe probabilities for
now.

..Squitieri.. 11/30/2025