Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
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265 FXUS63 KDDC 020603 AFDDDC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 103 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler temperatures today; highs in the 50s - A warming trend starting on Sunday and lasting through next week - No great opportunities for precipitation for at least the next 7- 10 days && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 219 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025 A very deep and strong upper-level trough continues to track eastward across the central CONUS with the 300mb low situated around the MO/IA/IL border. The system has brought deep layer CAA to the forecast area and has led to cooler temperatures. Forecast highs today are only in the 50s. This is around 10 degrees cooler than average for the first of November in SW Kansas. The rest of today`s weather is dictated by subtle ridging building and a surface high over western Nebraska. This will work to keep winds lighter and skies clearer. Lows Saturday night/Sunday morning is the last day in the forecast period where sub-freezing temperatures are possible with a warm-up starting tomorrow. Winds are forecast to strengthen into tomorrow bringing southwest winds and warm air from downsloping. A west-to-east temperature gradient will set up as a result with the warmest temperatures out west. The warm air will quickly raise highs with western Kansas even seeing the potential to see 80 degrees with ensembles having chances at around 20%. Sunday is forecast to be 10-20 degrees warmer than Saturday. Beyond the weekend a very quiet weather stretch is expected to continue. Ensembles have highs bouncing around in the 60-70s through the week. Rain chances from ensembles continue to be at or below 5% through next week. Light winds will keep the fire weather risk minimal despite low relative humidities out west. The lack of precipitation potential and non-extreme temperatures back the expected week without weather headlines. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 101 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025 Light south winds at 12 kts or less will persist through the period as surface high pressure moves off to the east. Upper level high pressure building eastward toward the high plains will result in clear skies and VFR conditions. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KBJ AVIATION...Finch