Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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265
FXUS63 KDDC 020603
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
103 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler temperatures today; highs in the 50s

- A warming trend starting on Sunday and lasting through next week

- No great opportunities for precipitation for at least the next 7-
  10 days

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 219 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

A very deep and strong upper-level trough continues to track
eastward across the central CONUS with the 300mb low situated around
the MO/IA/IL border. The system has brought deep layer CAA to the
forecast area and has led to cooler temperatures. Forecast highs
today are only in the 50s. This is around 10 degrees cooler than
average for the first of November in SW Kansas. The rest of today`s
weather is dictated by subtle ridging building and a surface high
over western Nebraska. This will work to keep winds lighter and
skies clearer. Lows Saturday night/Sunday morning is the last day in
the forecast period where sub-freezing temperatures are possible
with a warm-up starting tomorrow.

Winds are forecast to strengthen into tomorrow bringing southwest
winds and warm air from downsloping. A west-to-east temperature
gradient will set up as a result with the warmest temperatures out
west. The warm air will quickly raise highs with western Kansas even
seeing the potential to see 80 degrees with ensembles having chances
at around 20%. Sunday is forecast to be 10-20 degrees warmer than
Saturday.

Beyond the weekend a very quiet weather stretch is expected to
continue. Ensembles have highs bouncing around in the 60-70s through
the week. Rain chances from ensembles continue to be at or below 5%
through next week. Light winds will keep the fire weather risk
minimal despite low relative humidities out west. The lack of
precipitation potential and non-extreme temperatures back the
expected week without weather headlines.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 101 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

Light south winds at 12 kts or less will persist through the
period as surface high pressure moves off to the east. Upper
level high pressure building eastward toward the high plains
will result in clear skies and VFR conditions.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...Finch