993
FXUS63 KDDC 152004
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
204 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and mild through Wednesday

- Next shot at precipitation Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

A quiet weather night is expected tonight. High pressure will be under
control across the state. Lows tonight will be in the 30s north to
the lower 40s in the south. For Sunday, a sfc lee trough will develop
with southerly winds increasing across the FA. Highs should peak
in the 60s to 70s. No precipitation is expected through the rest
of the weekend.

The tranquil weather pattern will continue Monday through the middle
portion of the next week. The NBM has silent pops during this period.
For temperatures, highs in the 70s are expected Monday. Highs in
the the 60s are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows should bottom
out in the mix of the 30s and 40s. Again, any precipitation chances
looks doubtful under this dull weather pattern we are expected to
be in per the long range models.

For Thursday, an large upper level trof begins to approach the greater
region from the west. Moisture advection is expected downstream across
the FA. This will set the stage for returning precipitation chances
across the state. Showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder will be
possible during this period. There is considerable uncertainty in
the deterministic models. Some of the ensemble counterparts show
some agreement with the heaviest precipitation located across the
far eastern zones to perhaps out of the FA and across eastern Kansas
and into Oklahoma. Will have to watch for more trends at this point.
The NBM does have the highest pops across the eastern zones.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1055 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

VFR is expected through TAF pd. NE winds 15-20 kt today decreasing
less than 10 kt by tonight.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden