008
FXUS63 KDDC 110532
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1132 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions likely through the weekend.

- Unseasonably warmer temperatures Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

WV imagery indicates a northwesterly flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains. Near the surface, high pressure is sliding
southeast through the Texas Panhandle.

Dry conditions will continue through the weekend as the SREF shows
the northwesterly aloft persisting during the period in question.
Near the surface, westerly downsloping will continue to reinforce
a dry air mass across western Kansas ahead of a cold front projected
to push through Thursday night. Less than a robust flow aloft with
a polar jet remaining well to our north, and the dominating dry
air mass throughout the high plains will continue to keep precip
chances out of southwest/central Kansas through at least Sunday.

Well above normal temperatures are likely tonight as low level
southwesterly downsloping re-establishes across southwest Kansas in
wake of departing high pressure while weak lee side troughing
develops in eastern Colorado. With the latest HREF indicating a 60-
80% probability of temperatures dropping below 40F by daybreak
Thursday morning, look for lows generally down into the 30s(F) with
near 40F in extreme southwest Kansas. Temperatures will climb well
above the seasonal average Thursday as downsloping becomes more
westerly behind an advancing surface trough axis through western
Kansas, helping push H85 temperatures well above 10C in central
Kansas to a little above 15C near the Colorado line. Under ample
sunshine, expect afternoon highs in the upper 60s(F) in central
Kansas where the HREF shows a better than 90% probability of
temperatures exceeding 65F to the lower 70s(F) in extreme southwest
Kansas where there is better than a 90% probability of temperatures
nudging above 70F. Cooler temperatures are likely Friday with
colder air surging southward into western Kansas behind a projected
cold frontal passage Thursday night.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1130 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Downslope westerly winds will prevail this TAF period, and this
will result in continued widespread VFR flight category with
only high level cirrus cloud spreading over the region. Wind
speeds on Thursday will be at or below 12 knots for the majority
of the day.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Umscheid