157
FXUS63 KDDC 072005
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
205 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry pattern continues through mid-week.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures return Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

WV imagery indicates a northwest flow aloft prevailing across the
Western High Plains. Near the surface, an area of high pressure
extends southwest from the Upper Midwest down into eastern Kansas.

An ongoing drier pattern is forecast to continue early in the period
as the SREF shows little to change to the prevailing northwest flow
aloft across the region through mid-week. This and a much drier air
mass being reinforced by predominately westerly downsloping should
keep any precip chances out of western Kansas through much of the
period. Below freezing temperatures are likely again tonight as
surface high pressure exits slowly eastward through the Central
Plains, reinforcing the colder air mass across the Western Plains.
With the HREF showing a widespread 70-90% probability of temperatures
dipping below 30F, look for overnight lows down into the 20s(F),
especially with light/variable winds and clearing skies. Warmer
temperatures return Monday as departing surface high pressure and
developing lee side troughing in eastern Colorado sets up southwesterly
downsloping across western Kansas, helping pushing H85 temperatures
a little above 5C. Under ample sunshine, expect widespread afternoon
highs up into the 50s(F). Aided by westerly downsloping, the warming
trend continues into Tuesday with unseasonably warm highs up into
the 60s(F).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1052 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Ongoing MVFR/IFR cigs are expected to slowly improve to VFR generally
after 19-21Z as low level stratus continues to lift/scatter out west
to east through late afternoon. VFR conditions are then forecast to
persist through early Monday. Light northerly winds will continue
to subside this afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight
through early Monday morning as an elongated surface high extending
from the Upper Midwest southwest into eastern Kansas shifts slowly
eastward during the period. Southwesterly winds 10 to 20kt are expected
to set up generally after 12-14Z Monday morning as lee side troughing
develops in eastern Colorado.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson