844
FXUS63 KDDC 141633
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1033 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions continue today through the weekend

- Above normal temperatures expected today with highs reaching
around 80 degrees

- Cooler temperatures return late next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 226 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

An upper level ridge will pass over the Central and Southern Plains
today through Sunday with an upper level shortwave digging into the
Northern Plains tonight into tomorrow. No active weather is expected
today through this weekend with a cold front pushing through the
area tomorrow. Winds will generally be light and swinging from a
southerly to westerly direction through tonight, then shift to the
north behind the aforementioned cold front Saturday. Winds become
light Saturday night then shift back to the south Sunday. As for
temperatures, highs look to reach upper 70s to around 80 degrees
today, mid 70s tomorrow, then mid 60s Sunday behind the cold front.
Lows will dip into the 40s tonight with upper 30s to low 40s
tomorrow night.

The pattern then changes as a weak upper level trough slides into
the Desert Southwest Sunday and towards the Central Plains Monday.
As of now most ensemble members keep western Kansas dry as this
system moves through with a cold front passage and a slight increase
in cloud cover Monday. A stronger system may move through the area
late week but will be watched with future model runs. As for
temperatures, highs Monday look to reach into the 60s with 50s
Tuesday and Wednesday. Near normal temperatures return late week.
Lows will generally be in the 40s Monday morning, 30s Tuesday
morning, then back into the upper 30s to low 40s for Wednesday
morning. A cool down is then expected by late week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1033 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the period. The first half of
the period is forecast to see mostly clear skies and light
south/variable winds under residual high pressure. Later in the
period, a weak low pressure system is expected to pass through the
area. This will shift winds to from the north and bring scattered
cloud cover with high ceilings.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...KBJ