827
FXUS63 KDDC 022029
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
229 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild weather will generally prevail over the next week, with
  some day to day fluctuations in temperature.

- Chances for rain over the next week are close to 0%.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 228 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

The deep and strong upper-level trough`s influence on the forecast
is finally loosening as it approaches the east coast. Otherwise, the
only other pertinent synoptic feature is a weak high pressure system
centered around the Arizona/Mexico border. The antithetical
pressure systems have resulted in some stronger winds today. Current
surface analysis has a outstanding pressure gradient bisecting Kansas
and slowly moving eastward. This, combined with downsloping winds,
has highs in the western counties in the 80s and highs in the
eastern counties in the 60s. Models have a weak front moving down
and across SW Kansas early Monday morning, although no tangible
impacts are expected beyond a sharp wind shift. Also into the
overnight, the aforementioned high pressure system is expected to
continue moving eastward and approach the forecast area. After the
high exits/erodes, ensembles have a largely zonal flow through the
remainder of the forecast period and beyond.

With the cold front Monday`s highs will be a little cooler with
nearly the whole CWA in the 60s. The rest of the week will primarily
see highs in the 60-70s. It is expected that the week will continue
to be without headlines. ensembles keep precipitation potential
below 5% for the week. Temperatures continue to be around average
and not be abnormal extremes through this stretch. Lows are
currently forecast to remain above freezing. With the high/zonal
flow pattern, winds will remain light (<20 mph). That quells fire
weather risk despite low minimum relative humidity values
(<15%).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1035 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through the TAF period.
Skies are forecast to be clear with pleasant weather. Around 6Z, a
weak boundary moving through will shift winds nearly 180 degrees
going from the south to from the north. Winds at around 5-15 KTs are
expected.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...KBJ