360
FXUS63 KDDC 080513
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1113 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry pattern continues through mid-week.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures return Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

WV imagery indicates a northwest flow aloft prevailing across the
Western High Plains. Near the surface, an area of high pressure
extends southwest from the Upper Midwest down into eastern Kansas.

An ongoing drier pattern is forecast to continue early in the period
as the SREF shows little to change to the prevailing northwest flow
aloft across the region through mid-week. This and a much drier air
mass being reinforced by predominately westerly downsloping should
keep any precip chances out of western Kansas through much of the
period. Below freezing temperatures are likely again tonight as
surface high pressure exits slowly eastward through the Central
Plains, reinforcing the colder air mass across the Western Plains.
With the HREF showing a widespread 70-90% probability of temperatures
dipping below 30F, look for overnight lows down into the 20s(F),
especially with light/variable winds and clearing skies. Warmer
temperatures return Monday as departing surface high pressure and
developing lee side troughing in eastern Colorado sets up southwesterly
downsloping across western Kansas, helping pushing H85 temperatures
a little above 5C. Under ample sunshine, expect widespread afternoon
highs up into the 50s(F). Aided by westerly downsloping, the warming
trend continues into Tuesday with unseasonably warm highs up into
the 60s(F).

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1112 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

An area of low clouds spreading west toward Hays at 05z will be
pushed back east over the next few hours as a southwesterly
flow develops. Based on this, and the latest observation at
Hays, have decided to keep any mention of IFR ceilings out of
the Hays TAF early this morning. Will however wait until the
last minute before issuing the TAFs to ensure that these low
clouds, currently just east of the airport, remain east of the
airport. VFR conditions are expected at the Garden City, Dodge
City and Liberal airports over the next 24 hours. Southwest
winds at less than 10 knots will shift to a more westerly
direction during the afternoon as a surface boundary moves
across western Kansas.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Burgert