906
FXUS63 KDDC 090531
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1131 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry pattern continues through end of the week.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 201 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

WV imagery indicates a northwesterly flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains. Near the surface, a weak lee side trough of
low pressure remains anchored in eastern Colorado.

Dry conditions will continue early in the period as the SREF shows a
fairly stagnant northwesterly aloft pattern persisting through the
end of the week. With prevailing westerly downsloping in the lower
levels reinforcing a much drier air mass, precip chances will remain
absent across southwest/central Kansas through the end of the week.
Temperatures are not expected to be quite as cold tonight with
prevailing west-southwest downsloping slowly eroding the colder air
mass across the high plains of western Kansas. With the HREF indicating
a widespread 60-80% probability of temperatures dropping below 35F,
expect lows generally in the lower/mid 30s(F) with a few upper 20s(F)
in lower lying areas, especially in extreme southwest Kansas. Warming
trend continues Tuesday with unseasonably warm temperatures likely
as prevailing downsloping helps draw warmer into the area, pushing
H85 temperatures well above 10C in central Kansas to near 15C out
near the Colorado line. Expect afternoon highs up into the mid/upper
60s(F) across central and much of southwest Kansas with the lower
70s(F) not out of the question in extreme southwest Kansas with
plenty of sun. More seasonal temperatures return Wednesday as colder
air surges southward into western Kansas in wake of a cold frontal
passage Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Southwest winds below 10 knots early this morning will shift
westerly and increase to near 15 knots between 15Z and 18Z Today
and become gusty at times. These stronger winds are expected to
diminish after 00Z Wednesday. A cold front will move into
southwest Kansas after 03Z, causing the west winds to shift to
the northwest and increase to 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts.
BUFR soundings and model guidance consistently support VFR
conditions through the next 24 hours, including after the cold
frontal passage early tonight.


&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Burgert