621
FNUS53 KDTX 180733
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
333 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024


.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather settles over southeast Michigan
early this week, but min RH still drops in into the 40s. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms possible both Monday and Tuesday,

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
333 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....84-90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4780-5280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1113).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-92.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5710-6210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1033).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-182115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
333 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....86-92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........46-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1139).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........87-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....88-92.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4820-5320 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (870).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
333 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....88-94.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming south
                    around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (984).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....90-96.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5420-5920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (717).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
around 70. Highs in the mid 80s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.

$$

SC