Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
721
FNUS53 KDTX 171941
FWFDTX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
341 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather settles over southeast Michigan
early this week, but min RH still drops in into the 40s. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms possible both Monday and Tuesday,
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-172115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
341 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-89 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 11 am until
1400, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....86-90.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........49-58 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4930-5430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1144).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........79-84 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest around 5
mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......530-730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (45).
Pcpn amount.........None.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....88-94.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5890-6390 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1101).
Pcpn amount.........None.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-172115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
341 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 5 am. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-90 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....86-92.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1234).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........81-88 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........None.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....88-94.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5420-5920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (992).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-172115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
341 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....70-74.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-91 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 11 am until
1400, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....90-94.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5560-6060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1132).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....70-76.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-87 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....92-96.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5680-6180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (769).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 80s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs around 80.
$$
MANN