787
FXUS63 KDVN 011143
AFDDVN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
643 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated to scattered showers are possible today with highs
  in the 40s.

- Quiet weather with moderating temps through the rest of the
  long term.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Upper level low is slowly moving south across the region this
morning. This will bring cloudy skies to the area and cooler
temps. H85 temps below 0C are expected. This with the cloud
cover will lead to temps making it to the 40s today. Cyclonic
flow behind the upper level low will help to form showers across
the area today. CAMs have isolated to scattered showers,
especially west of the Mississippi River today. As previously
mentioned, winds look to remain below 10 mph today. Overall a
pretty gloomy start to November across the area.

Tonight, clouds look to hold on a little longer. If they end up
clearing out sooner, there is a chance for fog development. We
will need to keep an eye on this, as this could lead to some
freezing fog. Confidence is low in this setup, later shifts will
need to keep an eye on this.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

At the beginning of the period, upper level ridging builds into
the area. We remain close to this ridge through the period.
North of us, the flow is more zonal, so we see some shortwaves
approach the area. However, we look to be lacking in any real
moisture, so quiet weather is expected through the long term.
Towards the end of the week, the pattern looks to turn active.
We could see precip chances ramp up for the end of the week and
into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 636 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

A weak storm system is forecast to drop southeastward across
eastern Iowa TAF sites this afternoon into this morning.
Ceilings are forecast to lower this morning to MVFR at all TAF
sites with any showers that impact a TAF sites brining the
potential for MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibilities. Confidence
is low in the exact location that showers will occur but
included KCID and KDBQ in the prob30 given current radar.
Ceilings are forecast to lift to VFR after 00 UTC Sunday. There
is the potential for fog at all TAF sites if skies clear but
confidence is low at this time on the timing and coverage of any
fog.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...None.
IL...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gibbs
LONG TERM...Gibbs
AVIATION...Cousins