845
FNUS21 KWNS 181630
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1129 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Valid 181700Z - 191200Z

...Update...
Only minor adjustments were made to the current Elevated area across
eastern and southern NM. West to southwest sustained winds will
increase late this morning through this afternoon near and east of
the Sacramento Mountains, northeastward through the high plains of
NM and the far western panhandles of TX/OK. The latest observational
trends and high resolution NWP guidance suggest locally critical
meteorological conditions may develop for 2-3 hours across far
northeastern NM late this afternoon ahead of a stalling cold front.
Less receptive fuels within this region preclude the need for a
Critical area though.

Much farther west across the Mohave Valley near the NV/AZ/CA
borders, a very tight pressure gradient will continue to result in
breezy north winds (gusts near 35-45 mph) behind a cold front, where
RH is currently below 15 percent. However, wind speeds should
quickly decrease after 18Z as a locally enhanced pressure gradient
relaxes.

..Barnes.. 06/18/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024/

...Synopsis...
A trough will lift northward across the Northern Rockies into the
northern Plains today. Heights will rise across the southwestern US
with weakening southwest gradients and lighter winds returning where
the driest fuels remain currently. Areas of dry southwesterly flow
will linger across portions of central/eastern New Mexico, with
afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent overlapping
winds around 15 mph for a period of Elevated fire weather this
afternoon. Localized breezes and Elevated fire weather concerns may
extend further southwest into western New Mexico and southern
Arizona.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$