Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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050
FNUS21 KWNS 151634
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1133 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Valid 151700Z - 161200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

A deepening lee cyclone over eastern CO will support increasing
southerly winds across the southern and central High Plains this
afternoon, reaching speeds of 15-25 mph by peak heating. However,
overlap of stronger winds with sufficiently low RH amid a marginally
supportive fuels environment, in addition to isolated shower and
thunderstorm development should mitigate overall fire weather
concerns. Although lower RH and drier fuelscape exists across
central TX and the Southeast, light winds of generally 10 mph or
less under an upper-level ridge and diffuse surface pressure
gradients will limit a widespread fire weather threat.

..Williams.. 10/15/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025/

...Synopsis...
Along the southern periphery of expansive surface ridging
encompassing the eastern half of the CONUS, warm and dry conditions
will continue from the Southeast into central TX -- where fuels are
becoming increasingly dry. However, generally light northeasterly to
easterly surface winds should limit the wildfire-spread threat.

Farther west, southerly surface winds will strengthen across the
central High Plains in response to a deepening surface cyclone.
Despite 20-25 mph sustained southerly surface winds (with higher
gusts), marginal RH reductions and generally unreceptive fuels will
limit the fire-weather risk where the strongest winds are expected.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$