


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
050 FNUS21 KWNS 151634 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1133 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 Valid 151700Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... A deepening lee cyclone over eastern CO will support increasing southerly winds across the southern and central High Plains this afternoon, reaching speeds of 15-25 mph by peak heating. However, overlap of stronger winds with sufficiently low RH amid a marginally supportive fuels environment, in addition to isolated shower and thunderstorm development should mitigate overall fire weather concerns. Although lower RH and drier fuelscape exists across central TX and the Southeast, light winds of generally 10 mph or less under an upper-level ridge and diffuse surface pressure gradients will limit a widespread fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 10/15/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025/ ...Synopsis... Along the southern periphery of expansive surface ridging encompassing the eastern half of the CONUS, warm and dry conditions will continue from the Southeast into central TX -- where fuels are becoming increasingly dry. However, generally light northeasterly to easterly surface winds should limit the wildfire-spread threat. Farther west, southerly surface winds will strengthen across the central High Plains in response to a deepening surface cyclone. Despite 20-25 mph sustained southerly surface winds (with higher gusts), marginal RH reductions and generally unreceptive fuels will limit the fire-weather risk where the strongest winds are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$