Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
495 FNUS21 KWNS 271535 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0934 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025 Valid 271700Z - 281200Z A slight expansion west and north was made to the Elevated area based on the latest observations and high-resolution forecast guidance. While a few locations in southern Georgia/north Florida within the Elevated area saw recent (last 48 hours) rainfall of 0.35-0.75", these areas have KBDI values of 600-700+ with ongoing long-term severe to exceptional drought. Northwest winds gusts of 10-25 mph are already occurring with RH generally 35-50% in/near the Elevated area. Locally elevated conditions remain likely farther north/west into central Georgia, southeast Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle as well. ..Nauslar.. 11/27/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale upper-level trough positioned over the eastern CONUS will shift east throughout the day. At the surface, a dry post-frontal airmass will continue to overspread much of the Southeast, accompanied by breezy northwest winds. ...Portions of Southeast Georgia and North-Central Florida... The aforementioned dry/breezy conditions will lead to Elevated fire-weather concerns for the region, from late morning through late afternoon. Temperatures will warm into the upper 50s and lower 60s F, with dew point temperatures in the low 20s F, resulting in RH values into the low 20s and upper teens. Meanwhile, sustained winds of 10-15 mph, gusting to 20-25 mph, will occur amid receptive fuels, characterized by relatively high ERC values and limited recent precipitation. Therefore, Elevated highlights have been maintained for the region, with some expansion into the Florida Panhandle and southern Georgia based on the latest wind/RH/fuel guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$