Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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914
FNUS21 KWNS 110800
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0159 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...Synopsis...
On the backside of an amplified large-scale trough departing the
Eastern Seaboard, a dry (albeit cool) post-frontal air mass has
infiltrated the FL Peninsula. Here, a tight surface pressure
gradient and enhanced northerly low-level flow down the Peninsula
will yield dry/breezy conditions across parts of southern and
southwest FL during the afternoon. Around 10-15 mph sustained
northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH will favor elevated to
locally critical fire-weather conditions, given at least modestly
receptive fuels.

Farther west, a subtle/low-amplitude midlevel perturbation embedded
within moderate west-northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the
central and southern Plains during the day. This will reinforce
surface troughing and a tight pressure gradient across the region.
On the eastern periphery of the surface trough, 15-20 mph sustained
south-southwesterly surface winds combined with 20-25 percent RH
will yield elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions
across the southern Plains. To the west, downslope warming/drying
amid the tight pressure gradient will also contribute to dry/breezy
conditions from the lee of the central Rockies into the central High
Plains. These conditions atop dry fuels will lead to a brief period
of elevated fire-weather conditions during the afternoon -- before
surface winds begin to weaken.

..Weinman.. 11/11/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$