Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS21 KWNS 021629
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1028 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025

Valid 021700Z - 031200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Increasing westerly
flow aloft south of an advancing mid-level trough along with a
deepening lee surface trough along the central/southern High Plains
will support a favorable environment for dry, downslope flow across
east-central NM and the TX Panhandle through the afternoon.
West-southwest winds of 15-20 mph combined with relative humidity as
low as 15% are expected. However, the overall fuelscape remains
unreceptive to significant wildfire spread although pockets of drier
fuels/cured grasses could align with the dry and breezy conditions
to support locally elevated fire weather concerns.

..Williams.. 12/02/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/

...Synopsis...
Within the base of a gradually amplifying large-scale trough over
the West, a belt of moderate midlevel westerly flow will overspread
the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains today. In response, a
lee cyclone will deepen in the vicinity of northeastern NM. These
factors will contribute to dry/breezy downslope flow from eastern NM
into the TX Panhandle and South Plains during the afternoon. While a
corridor of 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds are
expected amid 15-20 percent RH, unreceptive fuels should limit most
fire-weather concerns. East of the lee cyclone, dry/breezy return
flow will develop across northwest TX into western OK. Similarly,
marginal fuels should limit the wildfire risk.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$