Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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956 ACUS01 KWNS 060538 SWODY1 SPC AC 060537 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today. ...Discussion... Mean long-wave trough is expected to remain centered across the eastern Plains/MS Valley through the day1 period. Negligible height changes are expected across lower latitudes which will result in a synoptic front oscillating across the northern/central FL Peninsula. This boundary will serve as the primary focus for the potential for isolated thunderstorm development. Latest model guidance is not particularly aggressive in air mass destabilization across the Peninsula, but showers and a few thunderstorms should develop along/north of the boundary as deep westerly flow provides weak lift atop the frontal zone. While deep-layer shear is strong, weak buoyancy and poor lapse rates do not support robust or organized severe updrafts. ..Darrow/Thornton.. 12/06/2025 $$