Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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741 ACUS01 KWNS 241238 SWODY1 SPC AC 241236 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from mid-afternoon into the overnight hours from east Texas into central/southern Mississippi. ...TX/LA/MS... A large upper trough is moving eastward across the southern Plains this morning, with an associated 60-70 knot mid level jet expected to track into AR by evening. At the surface, a warm front currently extends from southeast TX to just off the LA coast. This boundary will lift northward through the day, with a moist and moderately unstable air mass spreading inland. A combination of diurnal destabilization and the approaching upper trough will lead to convective intensification by early afternoon over east TX. These initial storms will pose a risk of large hail and perhaps some gusty winds and a tornado or two. As the activity spreads eastward after dark, rather strong low-level shear profiles in vicinity of the warm front will maintain a risk of severe storms through much of the night across central LA and southern MS. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will be possible. ..Hart/Broyles.. 11/24/2025 $$