Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
718 FNUS22 KWNS 131918 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0117 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...Central/Northern Plains... Accelerating mid-level flow south of a low-amplitude mid/upper trough will move into the northern and central Rockies through Friday. Surface troughing across the Northern Plains along with an enhanced downslope drying and increasing westerly wind field across the region should support several hours of elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions for much of northwestern NE and the Badlands area of SD on Friday. Sustained west winds of 15-20 mph, relative humidity falling to around 20% and well above normal temperatures in the 70s, despite expanding mid/upper level cloud cover, will contribute to an increasing wildfire spread potential amid dry and recently cured fuels. Elevated highlights were expanded into southern SD and farther east into northern NE based on latest forecast guidance. ...Eastern New Mexico and Western Texas Panhandle... A more confined corridor of elevated fire weather conditions is still expected across east-central NM into the TX Cap Rock area Friday. Downslope enhanced westerly winds reaching 15 mph and relative humidity dropping to 15-20% should present a few hours of heightened fire weather concern for the area Friday afternoon. ..Williams.. 11/13/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025/ ...Synopsis... In response to strengthening midlevel westerly flow across the northern/central Rockies, surface lee troughing will be reinforced over the High Plains. From southeast WY into western NE, downslope-enhanced boundary-layer mixing into the strengthening flow aloft will contribute to 15-20 mph sustained westerly surface winds (with higher gusts) amid 15-25 percent afternoon RH. Given at least modestly receptive fuels, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, around 15 mph sustained westerly surface winds and 15 percent RH in the lee of the higher terrain from east-central NM toward the Cap Rock will also contribute to a corridor of locally elevated fire-weather conditions during the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$