073
FNUS22 KWNS 031951
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 PM CST Mon Nov 03 2025

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...Central High Plains...
A strengthening Northern Plains surface low and enhanced mid-level
westerly winds over the central/northern Rockies will bring dry and
breezy conditions to eastern WY into the NE Panhandle Tuesday.
Forecast guidance continues to suggest sufficient boundary layer
mixing and drying to promote west winds of 15-20 mph and minimum RH
values of close to 10% in some areas despite some upper-level cloud
cover developing in the lee of the Rockies Tuesday afternoon.
Elevated highlights were maintained for eastern WY/western NE.

..Williams.. 11/03/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1141 PM CST Sun Nov 02 2025/

...Synopsis...
While the strongest upper-level winds will move offshore in the
Northeast, a belt of moderate to strong upper-level winds will
remain across the northern tier of the U.S. on Tuesday. A surface
low will develop into the northern Plains and another weak cold
front will move into the Plains and Upper Midwest.

...Central High Plains...
With the surface low deepening in the northern Plains and stronger
mid-level winds being present across the terrain, elevated fire
weather appears probable in eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska
Panhandle. Models do differ on the degree of afternoon RH reduction.
This is likely due to high level cloud potential. However, the
degree of downslope warming should be able to reduce RH to 15-20%.
Wind of 15-20 mph (perhaps locally higher) can also be expected.

...Southern Wisconsin/northern Illinois into northern Indiana and
northwest Ohio...
An influx of drier air is expected behind the weak cold front on
Monday. Some models depict a short duration of elevated to near
critical RH developing during the afternoon. However, this will
entirely depend on how much surface heating can occur. Forecast
soundings show a fairly high probability of mid/upper-level clouds
associated with a strong jet stream to the north and subtle
shortwave trough approaching from the west. This uncertainty
precludes highlights, but drought impacted fuels would support at
least locally elevated conditions.

...East-central New Mexico into Texas Panhandle/South Plains...
Modest mid-level winds and modest lee troughing could support a
period of locally enhanced winds across these areas. RH is somewhat
uncertain on account of potential high clouds, but 15-25% appears to
be the likely range. While there may be pockets of drier fine fuels
from recent freezing and dry conditions, weak winds (10-15 mph)
suggest only locally elevated conditions.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$