Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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031
FNUS22 KWNS 081942
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CST Mon Dec 08 2025

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

Increasing west to southwest winds are still expected for portions
of western TX and southeastern NM Day 2/Tuesday in response to
increasing pressure gradient from surface troughing across the
Plains. West to southwest winds of 10-20 mph in conjunction with
downslope drying and resulting minimum relative humidity of 15-20
percent, should promote elevated fire weather conditions for the TX
Permian Basin and leeward slopes of the Trans-Pecos region by
Tuesday afternoon. However, fuel indices remain relatively benign
despite several days of drying. The limited fuel support should
mitigate a broader fire weather threat across the Southern Plains.

..Williams.. 12/08/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1045 PM CST Sun Dec 07 2025/

...Synopsis...
Surface troughing across the Plains will bring dry and breezy
conditions to portions of western Texas on D2/Tuesday. Recent days
of dry and breezy conditions across western Texas from the Caprock
south to the Permian Basin have allowed fuels to dry steadily.
Forecast ERCs indicate fuels will be around the 50th-60th percentile
across some portions of these regions on Tuesday. Afternoon relative
humidity reductions to 15-20 percent may briefly overlap winds
around 10-15 mph for localized Elevated fire weather concerns.
Overall, it doesn`t appear that this overlap of drying fuels and
elevated meteorological conditions will be widespread enough for
inclusion of any areas.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$