633
FNUS22 KWNS 261859
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1258 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

An Elevated area was added for portions of southeast Georgia and
north/central Florida as dry/breezy conditions are expected behind a
cold front. Northwest sustained winds of 8-15 mph with gusts of
15-25 mph and minimum RH of 15-30% are expected across these areas
tomorrow. Some areas will have elevated fire weather conditions
beginning mid/late morning and lasting through the afternoon.
Confidence is high for RH to be low enough, but confidence is lower
regarding the coverage of sustained 10-15 mph winds. Additionally,
isolated portions of the Elevated area received rain today with
isolated showers and thunderstorms likely to continue moving
east-southeast into the evening across portions of the Elevated
area. This may help mitigate fuel concerns, but several RAWS in/near
the Elevated area are forecast to have near daily record high ERC
values tomorrow. Stronger winds are likely in the lee of the
southern Appalachians and in the vicinity of the Piedmont, but
higher RH and colder temperatures will help mitigate and thus
preclude a risk area.

..Nauslar.. 11/26/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1235 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025/

...Synopsis...
Fire concerns will likely remain limited for Thursday. Widespread
rain and snowfall across the Midwest and the southern CONUS along
with weak winds across the West will mitigate fire weather concerns
for large portions of the country. Dry conditions are expected
across southern GA into the FL Peninsula in the wake of a cold
frontal passage late Wednesday into early Thursday. Drier solutions
hint that RH reductions into the 25-35% range are possible along
with 10-15 mph winds. Elevated fire weather conditions appear
probable, but rain chances over the next 24 hours may improve fuel
moisture across a region with already modest ERC values (between the
50-70th percentiles). As such, highlights are withheld for this
outlook, though fuel trends will be monitored. Breezy offshore winds
along the southern CA coast early Thursday are expected to abate
through the day as the pressure gradient weakens, but a few hours of
localized elevated conditions appear possible between 12-18 UTC.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$