Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
712 FNUS22 KWNS 091953 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CST Sun Nov 09 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Southern Georgia and Florida Panhandle... A strong cold front pushing through the Southeast will usher in a cooler but very dry continental air mass into the Deep South and FL Peninsula tonight into Day 2/Monday. Showers and thunderstorms along the front are expected across southern GA and northern FL this evening and overnight. However, pockets of dry fuels remaining within areas in extreme drought could align with persistent offshore winds from the northwest of 15-20 mph and relative humidity of 20-30%. This should to support elevated fire weather concerns for southern GA and the FL Panhandle Monday. ...Southern California... Surface high pressure across the West will maintain dry offshore flow across southern California tonight into Monday. Latest forecast guidance depicts a slightly reduced east-northeast wind component heading into Monday morning. Wind speeds of 20 mph with higher gusts and relative humidity in the 15-20% range are likely through favored coastal range gaps but widespread elevated fire weather conditions are not expected. Similarly isolated breezy and dry conditions through favored terrain gaps are expected along the San Jacinto/Peninsular Ranges but a broad fire weather threat of longer duration is not expected as overall winds decrease Monday afternoon. ..Williams.. 11/09/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1224 AM CST Sun Nov 09 2025/ ...Synopsis... A large, amplified trough over the eastern CONUS will translate eastward through the day on Monday, pushing a front off the Florida coast by evening. Behind this front, a dry air mass will be present, with 25-30% RH and 20-25 mph winds, and some pockets of dry fuels across southern Georgia may prove receptive to fire spread. Some uncertainty remains on how much precipitation will fall ahead of the front passage on Sunday evening, and this may limit the fire weather risk. However, enough confidence exists to delineate an Elevated risk area over southern Georgia. Across southern California, the LAX-DAG and LAX-WJF pressure gradients remain around -5 mb for portions of the day on Monday, which may induce periods of offshore flow and drying. RH is expected to remain near 15-20% through the day with poor overnight recovery the previous night. However, due to uncertainty on how long the wind may persist, an Elevated area is not introduced at this time, though this may be reevaluated in the future. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$