349
FNUS22 KWNS 151945
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

No changes to the Day 2 Outlook, see previous forecast.

...Colorado High Plains...
A mid-level jet ahead of a pronounced mid-level trough across the
West will overspread the central/northern Plains Thursday. An
associated lee cyclone/trough in eastern CO along with enhanced
mid-level southwest flow aloft over the central Rockies should
support a favorable downslope warming/drying event across eastern
Colorado Thursday. Locally elevated fire weather conditions with
west/southwest winds of 15-20 mph and relative humidity falling to
as low as 10% are expected, aligning with pockets of drier fuels
that remain after showers/thunderstorms from the day 1 period.

..Williams.. 10/15/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025/

...Synopsis...
Downstream of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the West, a
south-southwesterly midlevel jet will overspread the
central/northern Plains. A related surface low will track northward
across the northern Plains, while a secondary lee cyclone evolves
over the central High Plains. Near and south of the lee cyclone, a
tightened pressure gradient will favor 15-20 mph sustained southerly
surface winds (with higher gusts) over the central/southern Plains.
While these breezy/gusty winds may briefly overlap 25-30 percent RH
over parts of the southern Plains (where fuels are dry), the
fire-weather threat looks too marginal/localized for highlights at
this time.

Over parts of the Mid-Atlantic, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions
may result in locally elevated fire-weather conditions for any areas
that missed out on rainfall over the last couple weeks.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$