132
ACUS02 KWNS 151719
SWODY2
SPC AC 151718

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1118 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible from the Lower Colorado River
Valley into the Four Corners states on Sunday. Additional isolated
thunderstorms may approach the central California coast early Monday
morning. Severe storms are not expected.

...Discussion...
A strong surface low off the Maine coast will continue to move east
through the period on Sunday. A cold front extending southwestward
from this surface low will bring a cool/dry airmass in its wake
across much of the eastern CONUS. A warm/moist airmass should remain
south of this cold front from the southern Plains and across the
Southeast. However, shortwave ridging aloft should suppress any
convective chances.

Farther west, thunderstorms are expected from a series of mid-level
shortwave troughs as they traverse the broader troughing across the
western CONUS. This may result in isolated to scattered
thunderstorms across the Four Corners region and into the central
Rockies and also along the central California coast. Weak
instability should limit any severe weather threat on Sunday.

..Bentley.. 11/15/2025

$$