060
ACUS02 KWNS 070645
SWODY2
SPC AC 070644

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CST Fri Nov 07 2025

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not forecast on Saturday or Saturday night.

...Southeast...
Forcing for ascent appears nebulous during the day Saturday in the
wake of a shortwave trough shifting off the coastal Mid-Atlantic by
early afternoon. Minimal convergence is anticipated along the
stalled front from the Lower MS Valley to the Carolinas. Thunder
probabilities appear quite low on Saturday afternoon outside of the
north FL vicinity.

Guidance has largely trended towards yesterday`s outlier GFS with
pervasive low RH in the mid-levels to the south-southeast of a
shortwave trough moving from the northern Great Plains to the Mid-MS
Valley and Midwest. The attendant surface cyclone track from the
Lower MO Valley to the Lower Great Lakes will remain displaced well
north of richer boundary-layer moisture that is confined along the
Gulf and south Atlantic Coasts. The remnant front over the Deep
South will begin to accelerate eastward Saturday night towards the
central Gulf Coast States. Weak mid-level lapse rates along the
front will hamper buoyancy, with isolated thunder possible towards
early morning Sunday. While small hail might accompany a cell or
two, the limited instability and progressive nature of the front
suggests a broad severe hail area is unwarranted. Additional
isolated storms may form in the Carolinas vicinity as a low-level
warm conveyor strengthens late. Suppressed MUCAPE here should limit
potential for severe hail, although small hail will be possible in
the deepest cores.

..Grams.. 11/07/2025

$$