371
ACUS03 KWNS 160725
SWODY3
SPC AC 160724

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0224 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.

...Synopsis...

An upper low will persist over eastern MT/WY with an attendant
shortwave trough extending into the central/southern Plains on
Thursday. A lack of stronger height falls will preclude much in the
way of surface cyclogenesis, with generally broad, weak surface low
pressure extending across eastern portions of the Plains into the
MO/MS Valley vicinity. Upper 50s to mid 60s F dewpoints will be in
place from portions of the southern Plains into the Ozarks and
northward to the Upper Midwest. Pockets of weak to moderate
instability will foster scattered thunderstorm activity within this
zone, but severe potential should remain limited given nebulous
forcing for ascent, weak vertical shear and poor lapse rates.

..Leitman.. 09/16/2025

$$