447
ACUS03 KWNS 081926
SWODY3
SPC AC 081925

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 PM CST Sat Nov 08 2025

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

...Synopsis...
A deep mid/upper-level trough will move eastward across the eastern
CONUS Monday. A developing surface low initially off of the Mid
Atlantic coast is forecast to deepen as it moves north-northeastward
across eastern/northern New England through the evening. Modest
MUCAPE near/east of the surface low track may support some potential
for elevated convection with sporadic lightning flashes from the
Cape Cod vicinity into central/eastern ME.

Very cold midlevel temperatures will continue to support snow bands
over and near the Great Lakes. Lightning potential over Lake
Michigan may peak prior to the start of the period as the trough
begins to shift eastward, but very isolated/sporadic lightning
flashes may continue into Monday morning. A few lightning flashes
also cannot be ruled out over Lake Erie and adjacent parts of OH/PA.
Some instability may linger early in the period across far south FL
and the Keys, but current guidance generally shows a limited signal
for deep convection in this area prior to the frontal passage.
Elsewhere across the CONUS, stable conditions should preclude
thunderstorm potential.

..Dean.. 11/08/2025

$$